With sun breaking out for at least partly sunny skies later, expect highs between 60-75, coolest in Maine, warmest in multiple locations in southern New England. Even much of Vermont and New Hampshire will achieve temps near 70 today (Southern NH generally would in these scenarios, but low 70s can be expected way up into even southern parts of northern NH).
Now, for this system:
The peak of the storm is right now. We’re in it. This peak started a few hours ago and will end probably around 8 AM. Rain will begin to taper to scattered showers between mid-morning and noon, throughout New England, and in its wake at least partly sunny skies, with warming temperatures.
Heavy rain will affect the morning commute today; considering that we are around the height of the storm. Expect widespread 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts; there are already widespread reports over 2 inches in parts of southern New England. Some ponding of water and isolated urban flooding is possible; a few locations in southeast MA are under flash flood and areal flood warnings (one is a flash flood, the other is an areal flood warning). Take it slow on the morning commute! There could still be isolated bouts of heavy rain throughout the day within scattered showers or thunderstorms.
Expect inland gusts mainly to 40 mph, coastal 50-55 mph, occasionally to 60. With very strong winds above, some of these will mix to the ground; this could cause isolated small branches or limbs, causing scattered power outages; make driving a high profile vehicle difficult; blow around loose lawn furniture; and knock leaves off the trees, making for a lot of raking. With a southeast-based strong wind, there will be coastal flooding issues, especially on the southwest Maine coast where a coastal flood warning is in effect. In summary, it will be windy, and things will be moved around… if you must stand outside, your umbrella might have significant problems.
A widely isolated severe weather threat exists in Southern New England this morning, as wind gusts may be higher in any thunderstorm. While not expected, the tornado threat is non-zero; stay tuned to my Twitter for updates on any potential severe weather.
Have a great Thursday!