6/1/17 Severe Weather Update #2 (12:30 PM)

Good afternoon!

Things seem to have changed a little and now we have a chance of some more severe weather today. Being in my study block permits me to write a quick update.

The main timing of today’s threat will be between 2 and 8 PM. Storms will be far more isolated to scattered in nature than yesterday – more hit or miss in nature.
Wind shear is a bit weaker than yesterday, but still should be enough for strong to perhaps locally damaging winds.
Lapse rates are about the same with a strong cold pool aloft and good surface heating, which aids storm development and maintenance; also, the cold pool aloft can aid the potential for hail along with decent vertical shear.
Instability is definitely better than yesterday, due to better surface heating and fewer clouds.
Briefly heavy rain and lightning are also expected in any storm.
A potential detracting factor would be lower moisture than yesterday, hampering a storm’s development and progress.

Stay safe, keep an eye to the sky, and stay tuned for updates!
-Nathan

Published by Nathan Coram

Hello! I'm Nathan Coram, a 19 year old meteorology student and weather geek, and am going into my junior year at UMass Lowell as a meteorology major. I am the current Vice President of the UML American Meteorological Society Local Student Chapter. Prior to at UML, I attended the Dracut school system for my K-12 years, having graduated from Dracut High in 2018. I first got into weather with the December 2008 ice storm, which knocked out my electricity for 4 days. I had no idea how it could be raining and becoming ice immediately, and how rain can knock out power. (Now I do - warm layer aloft, cold air at surface). But I didn't really get into it until the heat of July 2010 and specifically a few severe weather events during that month, followed by the year 2011, which featured several high profile weather events. Since then I have had a growing interest, and am hoping to make it into the meteorology field, preferably with NOAA/NWS. But for now, I'm blogging here, helping with the UML Weather Center social media, and tweeting about the weather on my own account as well. Thanks for visiting!

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