9/18/17 Morning Update

Good morning!

With some fog around now, then mostly cloudy skies with a slim chance of a shower, expect a high around 71, and an east wind around 5 mph.

Slide1

The situation with Hurricane Jose is becoming clearer as we get closer to the onset of the storm. Rainfall is going to be the main impact here: I would expect 0.75″ to 1.75″ rain, but that could go up (or down). The heaviest rain is most likely to occur Tuesday night into Wednesday, but depending on the exact locations of various variables, another period of heavy rain cannot be ruled out Wednesday night into very early Thursday – but that is less likely. In any case, things should be clearing up by mid-morning Thursday if we are not there already. Some minor flooding is possible in vulnerable areas, but nothing significant is expected around here.

Slide2

In terms of wind, expect a northeast wind at 10-20 mph with peak gusts at 30-45 mph. Sustained tropical storm force winds are not likely, but cannot be ruled out if there is a last minute jog in the storm track much closer to the coast. Some minor wind damage is possible, mainly of the nature you would see with many strong but not severe thunderstorms (maybe a few small branches down, probably some sticks from trees, perhaps a particularly vulnerable lawn chair). I am not expecting anything too crazy with wind damage.

Slide3

The 5 day forecast is dominated by Jose, with things becoming decent again by midday Thursday. Friday is shaping up to be a nice day.

Slide4

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Published by Nathan Coram

Hello! I'm Nathan Coram, a 19 year old meteorology student and weather geek, and am going into my junior year at UMass Lowell as a meteorology major. I am the current Vice President of the UML American Meteorological Society Local Student Chapter. Prior to at UML, I attended the Dracut school system for my K-12 years, having graduated from Dracut High in 2018. I first got into weather with the December 2008 ice storm, which knocked out my electricity for 4 days. I had no idea how it could be raining and becoming ice immediately, and how rain can knock out power. (Now I do - warm layer aloft, cold air at surface). But I didn't really get into it until the heat of July 2010 and specifically a few severe weather events during that month, followed by the year 2011, which featured several high profile weather events. Since then I have had a growing interest, and am hoping to make it into the meteorology field, preferably with NOAA/NWS. But for now, I'm blogging here, helping with the UML Weather Center social media, and tweeting about the weather on my own account as well. Thanks for visiting!

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