Intermittently Rainy Tuesday

Good morning!
 
A cold front is the key catalyst in the development of an interesting weather event that will be multi-faceted in its impact. Let’s break it down category-by-category.
 
TEMPERATURES
Today: High of 70
Tonight: Low of 64
Wednesday: High of 68
Wednesday night: Low of 49
Thursday: High of 60
 
Conditions will be humid for much of this time as well with dewpoints in the 60s until Wednesday afternoon.
 
RAIN
Expect 1-3″ of rain, leaning toward the higher end of that range. Some minor flooding issues will be possible, mainly in poor drainage areas.
 
WIND
Expect a south wind at 10-15 mph with gusts over 40 mph possible at times (perhaps higher in some thunderstorms – more on that in a moment.) This could lead to some wind damage, especially considering that trees are still fully leaved.
 
SEVERE WEATHER
Embedded thunderstorms will be possible with this event. Some storms could be strong to severe with wind gusts over 55-60 mph possible, and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out somewhere in the region. The best chance for severe storms is in western sections of the region, but a few severe storms can’t be ruled out here.
 
TIMING
In general, expect intermittent periods of rain over the next few days, with the heavy rain threat running into Wednesday night before the last showers happen on Thursday. The severe weather threat will be this afternoon into early Wednesday morning. As for the rest of the wind threat, expect the strongest winds through mid-morning Wednesday before weakening.
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REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
As the cold front passes on Thursday, the shower chance will shut down and we enter a cooler and drier airmass with lows in the mid to upper 30s Thursday and Friday night. Highs will be in the upper 50s and low 60s Friday and Saturday. After that, a storm system is looking possible for next Sunday or Monday.
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Have a great day!
-Nathan
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