Intermittently Rainy Tuesday

Good morning!
A cold front is the key catalyst in the development of an interesting weather event that will be multi-faceted in its impact. Let’s break it down category-by-category.
Today: High of 70
Tonight: Low of 64
Wednesday: High of 68
Wednesday night: Low of 49
Thursday: High of 60
Conditions will be humid for much of this time as well with dewpoints in the 60s until Wednesday afternoon.
Expect 1-3″ of rain, leaning toward the higher end of that range. Some minor flooding issues will be possible, mainly in poor drainage areas.
Expect a south wind at 10-15 mph with gusts over 40 mph possible at times (perhaps higher in some thunderstorms – more on that in a moment.) This could lead to some wind damage, especially considering that trees are still fully leaved.
Embedded thunderstorms will be possible with this event. Some storms could be strong to severe with wind gusts over 55-60 mph possible, and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out somewhere in the region. The best chance for severe storms is in western sections of the region, but a few severe storms can’t be ruled out here.
In general, expect intermittent periods of rain over the next few days, with the heavy rain threat running into Wednesday night before the last showers happen on Thursday. The severe weather threat will be this afternoon into early Wednesday morning. As for the rest of the wind threat, expect the strongest winds through mid-morning Wednesday before weakening.
As the cold front passes on Thursday, the shower chance will shut down and we enter a cooler and drier airmass with lows in the mid to upper 30s Thursday and Friday night. Highs will be in the upper 50s and low 60s Friday and Saturday. After that, a storm system is looking possible for next Sunday or Monday.
Have a great day!

Published by Nathan Coram

Hello! I'm Nathan Coram, a 20 year old meteorology student and weather geek, and am in my junior year at UMass Lowell as a meteorology major. I am the current Vice President of the UML American Meteorological Society Local Student Chapter. Prior to at UML, I attended the Dracut school system for my K-12 years, having graduated from Dracut High in 2018. I first got into weather with the December 2008 ice storm, which knocked out my electricity for 4 days. I had no idea how it could be raining and becoming ice immediately, and how rain can knock out power. (Now I do - warm layer aloft, cold air at surface). But I didn't really get into it until the heat of July 2010 and specifically a few severe weather events during that month, followed by the year 2011, which featured several high profile weather events. Since then I have had a growing interest, and am hoping to make it into the meteorology field, preferably with NOAA/NWS. But for now, I'm blogging here on Dracut Weather (also on Twitter and Facebook), helping with the UML Weather Center social media, and tweeting about the weather on my own account as well. Thanks for visiting!

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