Wednesday 10/28/20

Good morning!

With rain showers this morning followed by cloudy skies, expect a high around 49 today, with a calm wind. Tonight will be mostly cloudy and 38, with a calm wind. Thursday will be cloudy and 47, with rain in the afternoon and a calm wind. Thursday night will feature heavy rain at times, with a low around 32, and a north wind of 5-15 mph. Rain will mix with snow late, with a period of accumulating snow likely Friday morning starting just before sunrise, flipping back to rain by late morning. Expect total snowfall of a coating to 2″, and total rainfall of 1″ to 2″. This would be the first accumulating October snowfall since 2011 (more details at the end of this post).

Slide6

weather 2020-10-28.001

All precipitation should end by early afternoon Friday, giving way to gradually decreasing clouds before sunset. Friday will be a remarkably cold day, with a high only around 37, along with a north wind of 5-15 mph, gradually calming during the evening. Friday night will be mainly clear, with a low around 21. Saturday will be sunny but cold for Halloween standards, with a high around 43. For those who do partake in Halloween activities, you’ll want to wear warm layers, a face covering, and partake in social distancing as temperatures will be in the 30s during the evening. The good news for Halloween is that wind should be calm or light. Please be responsible everyone; COVID cases are spiking right now and I realize the weather is less than ideal for gathering outdoors, but we’ve had worse weather on Halloween. Saturday night will have a low around 27, with mostly clear skies along with our “fall back” time change to begin the month of November. Sunday will have skies turning mostly cloudy, with a high around 54, along with a chance of afternoon showers.

weather 2020-10-28.002

Here’s a footnote on snow in October: If snow does indeed accumulate, this will be the first time we have seen accumulating snow in October since 2011, when 8.5″ of snow fell incidentally enough on the night of October 29 and morning of October 30. This would also be the fourth time the first snowfall has taken place in October in the last ten years; in addition to 2011-12 as noted, the first snowfalls of 2015-16 and 2018-19 took place in October (October 18, 2015 and October 27, 2018; both non-accumulating trace snowfalls). Incidentally enough, 2011-12 and 2015-16 ended up with well below average snowfall, and 2018-19 was an average winter for snowfall. That means absolutely nothing in relation to this winter, but is an interesting note.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Published by Nathan Coram

Hello! I'm Nathan Coram, a 19 year old meteorology student and weather geek, and am going into my junior year at UMass Lowell as a meteorology major. I am the current Vice President of the UML American Meteorological Society Local Student Chapter. Prior to at UML, I attended the Dracut school system for my K-12 years, having graduated from Dracut High in 2018. I first got into weather with the December 2008 ice storm, which knocked out my electricity for 4 days. I had no idea how it could be raining and becoming ice immediately, and how rain can knock out power. (Now I do - warm layer aloft, cold air at surface). But I didn't really get into it until the heat of July 2010 and specifically a few severe weather events during that month, followed by the year 2011, which featured several high profile weather events. Since then I have had a growing interest, and am hoping to make it into the meteorology field, preferably with NOAA/NWS. But for now, I'm blogging here, helping with the UML Weather Center social media, and tweeting about the weather on my own account as well. Thanks for visiting!

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