Good morning!
With mostly cloudy skies, expect a high around 56 today, with a southwest wind at 5-10 mph.
There are two upcoming snow chances – read on for more info.
MONDAY: This is a minor “mood snowfall” event. Snow showers are possible tomorrow afternoon with a coating to an inch possible throughout much of New England. The snow may be mixed with rain at times. Overall, this is a minor event; not much to worry about here.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY: If everything goes right, this could be a blockbuster snowstorm. That will depend on the exact track. What we do know at this point is a storm system will pass in our general vicinity. There is also strong support for cold air, so someone in the Northeast is likely going to get smoked by this one. At this point it’s just a question of where and how much. This is a completely different situation than last weekend’s storm where temperatures were very marginal and the whole storm depended on it “making its own cold air”, per se. The support for cold air will make this a light, fluffy snowfall.
The main point of uncertainty for our area is the northern edge of the precipitation shield. Most ensemble and operational guidance has us seeing at least some snow, but we could get nearly shut out if the system ticks a bit too far south. However, if we do get in on the precipitation shield, the high snow-to-liquid ratios will likely compensate somewhat, as this will likely be in the coldest air of the entire system. If we get in on the heavy precipitation, we could get absolutely slammed with snowfall. The guidance has fairly high confidence (especially for being 3-4 days out) on the storm taking place, as well as the cold air aspect of the system; and moderate confidence on the track (high confidence on the vicinity of the track but much lower on the precise location). We’ll likely know more by tomorrow, so stay tuned.
Have a great day!
-Nathan
