3/22/20 Evening Update

Good evening! Quick update pertaining to the winter weather that is on the dock for tomorrow (Monday) night.

Precipitation Type: Snow and rain.

Timing: Starting in the mid-evening hours (around the time of the typical rush hour) Monday as rain, switching to a mix of rain and snow after sunset. Continuing overnight as either rain, snow, or a mix, then ending before sunrise Tuesday morning.

Amounts: Currently, I am expecting 2-5″ for the Dracut area, although expect closer to 2″ or 3″. Elsewhere, expect 0-2″ closer to the coast and 4-8″ further north and west. However, there’s significant uncertainty with the forecast for a number of reasons, with the possibility that this current forecast could be too low or too high.

At this point, it looks like rain will mix in with the snow at times, but likely not for enough time to create a complete snow shutout. If the system ends up slightly warmer, though, this could create a near-shutout or total shutout in terms of accumulating snow. On the flip side, if we get into a heavier precipitation area, this could create additional cooling near the surface, which could perhaps result in hitting the 5″ end of the range, with a slight chance of exceeding that.

The overnight guidance should help clear up some of this…. hopefully.

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Have a good night and be well!
-Nathan

3/22/20 AM Update

Good morning!

With sunny skies, expect a high around 40, with a light east wind.

I’ll have an update in a few hours on the likely snow/rain mix tomorrow night.

-Nathan

3/19/20 Evening

Good evening!

With mainly cloudy skies tonight, expect a low around 37, with a calm wind.

Showers are likely at times Friday, potentially starting before sunrise, with the chance for on-and-off showers all day. A scattered rumble of thunder or two is possible in the evening along with some brief heavier rainfall. The high will be around 71 tomorrow, with mainly cloudy skies and a southwest wind of 5-10 mph.

Friday night will be mostly cloudy, with a low around 36, and a southwest wind of 5-10 mph, shifting to the west. Showers should wrap up after sunset.

Finally, a note regarding the potential snow system Monday evening/night into early Tuesday: as is the usual cliche with these things, it’s too early to tell regarding details. Nothing major seems to be in the cards, and it’s extremely possible that this system ends up being all rain, or perhaps even a complete miss altogether. Given the way this winter has progressed and the uncertainty in the model data I’d argue a mostly rain solution with perhaps some snow is favored at this point. However, the possibility exists for several inches of accumulating snow. The bright side is that if we do see accumulating snow, cleanup may not be as pesky as usual, given the combination of the late March sun angle (which can melt snow during the day like crazy, even when it’s cloudy) and the fact that most of us are now working or going to school from home given the coronavirus crisis.

Have a good night!
-Nathan

3/18/20 Evening

Good evening!

With rain likely starting late tonight, expect a low around 36, with a light south wind. There’s an extremely small chance of a few snowflakes to begin, but it looks like it will be all rain as the low temperature forecast for tonight has gradually increased. If any snowflakes occur they will not accumulate in the Dracut area.

With rain continuing at times through much of the day tomorrow, expect a high around 45, with a east wind of 5-10 mph. Showers end by sunset, with a low tomorrow night around 41 and mostly cloudy skies.

Friday will see temperatures soar, with a high around 72. Skies will be mostly cloudy, however, with a chance of scattered showers at times.

Have a great night!
-Nathan

3/16/20

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 39 today, with an east wind around 5 mph. Tonight will have increasing clouds, with a low near 31, and a light southeast wind.

Tomorrow will have a high near 48, with a chance of rain showers throughout the day. A few snowflakes could be mixed in with the showers in the morning, with no snow accumulation anticipated.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

3/4/20

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 52 today, with a west wind of 15-25 mph, and gusts peaking in the 40-50 mph range. Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low around 34, along with a west wind of 5-15 mph, and gusts up to 25 mph.

Thursday will be sunny and 50, with a west wind of 5-10 mph; Thursday night will have increasing clouds, a low near 31, and a light west wind.

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Rain showers are possible during the day Friday, which will otherwise be mainly cloudy and 44. It’s possible that there could be some flurries Friday evening, mainly after sunset; I’m not expecting any accumulation, but a coating on grassy surfaces isn’t out of the question.

Clouds decrease during the day Saturday, with a morning low of 25 and an afternoon high of 40. Saturday night will be mostly clear and 24, before we return to mild weather with a high of 52 and sunny skies for Sunday.

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Have a great day!
-Nathan

3/2/20

Good morning!

With mostly cloudy skies, expect a high around 52 today, with a south wind of 5-10 mph, along with some gusts over 20 mph.

Tonight will have a low near 42, with a chance of a few rain showers overnight, but otherwise mostly cloudy skies and a southwest wind of 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow will be partly cloudy, with a high around 59, and a southwest wind near 5 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan