5/22/20

Good morning!

With sunny skies, turning mostly sunny this evening, expect a high around 86 today, with a west-southwest wind of 5-10 mph. Tonight will start mostly clear, followed by conditions turning mostly cloudy, with a low around 59, and a light southwest wind.

Saturday will be partly sunny, with a high around 67, and winds shifting around sunrise to the east at 10-15 mph. Tomorrow will be showery in more southern parts of New England; conditions should stay dry here in northern Massachusetts but a stray shower isn’t entirely out of the question depending on the position of the cutoff low off the south coast of New England. A generally dry day is still expected nonetheless.

Beyond that, expect sunnier conditions, but still in the mid to upper 60s, for Sunday; Monday will likely break back into the 70s for a nice Memorial Day before summer temperatures take hold for the rest of the week. We should most likely reach into the low 80s Tuesday, and temperatures in the upper 80s or low 90s are likely Wednesday and Thursday.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/21/20

Good morning!

With sunny skies, expect a high around 80, with a southwest wind of 5-10 mph.
Tonight will be clear, with a low around 50, and a southwest wind around 5 mph.

Friday will be sunny, with a high around 85, and a west-southwest wind of 5-10 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/19/20 Evening Update: Five Day Forecast

Good evening!

The next five days (and beyond) are shaping up to be a dry timeframe. Expect mostly clear skies tonight, with a low around 39, and a calm wind.

Tomorrow (Wednesday the 20th) will be mostly sunny and 69, with a light east wind. Expect another mostly clear night tomorrow night, with a low again around 39 with a calm wind.

Thursday will be sunny, with a high around 78, and a wind shifting to the southwest around 5 mph.

weather 2020-05-19.001

Thursday night will be clear and 50. Friday will be the warmest day of the bunch, with a high around 84, but sunny skies and dry conditions anticipated. Friday night will be mostly clear, with a low around 58. Saturday through Sunday will be mostly sunny and mostly clear: high 72 Saturday, low 47 Saturday night, and high 68 Sunday. At an early glance, Memorial Day itself looks to be in the low to mid 70s, and hot weather is likely (but obviously not guaranteed) toward the middle to later stages of next week.

weather 2020-05-19.002

Have a great night!
-Nathan

weather 2020-05-19.002

5/19/20

Good morning!

With sunny skies, expect a high around 61 today, with a generally east wind at 5-15 mph. Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low around 40, and a light northeast wind. Tomorrow will be sunny, with a high around 65, and an east-northeast wind around 5 mph.

I’ll try and put out a 5-day forecast later today; Thursday should break well into the 70s and Friday will likely be in the low to mid 80s.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/16/20

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 73, with a north wind of 5-15 mph. Tonight will turn mostly cloudy, with a low near 48, and a light east wind. Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy, with a high around 73, and a wind shifting to the southwest around 5 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/15/20: Severe Thunderstorms Possible

Good morning!

With increasing clouds, expect a high around 80, with a light southwest wind. This afternoon and evening, there is a chance of some strong to severe thunderstorms. The warm front moved much farther north last night than anticipated in my forecast yesterday morning, which has opened the door for favorable conditions to develop throughout the day. There is a higher than usual risk of damaging winds with this event; small hail (with a few instances of larger hail possible), heavy rain and lightning are all in the cards as usual. There is even a low risk for a few tornadoes across the region today, although this low risk is a bit higher than our usual low risk tornado days. The timeline for severe weather will be from 3 to 10 pm, although most of the high-resolution guidance shows that the bulk of the activity will most likely be after 6 pm, with some scattered strong to severe storms possible ahead of what will likely be an intense squall line.

Keep an eye on weather conditions and updates this afternoon and evening; unfortunately I am working so I don’t know how much I’ll be able to put out as far as updates on my social media channels. I’ll try my best, but no promises unfortunately.

Beyond that, Saturday’s forecast has improved significantly. Yesterday morning’s guidance showed this morning’s warm front reversing and becoming a backdoor cold front this evening several hours prior to the passage of the primary cold front overnight tonight; over the last 24 hours the guidance has shifted toward keeping the front in place through at least most of Saturday, if not longer, and our cause was helped by the front moving all the way into Maine. The primary cold front tonight will be far less potent in terms of a temperature drop than a backdoor front tonight would have been.

Expect a low around 57, with a southwest wind around 5 mph, turning light and gradually shifting to the north, along with decreasing clouds once the severe weather passes. Tomorrow will have a high around 71, with mostly sunny skies and a north wind near 5 mph. Some guidance does show temperatures dropping before sunset due to the chance that the aforementioned backdoor front swings through tomorrow evening; however, some guidance doesn’t show this as prominently. Either way, tomorrow looks nice, and tomorrow night will turn mostly cloudy with a low around 48, as the wind shifts to a light wind out of the east.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/14/20

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 70 today, with a west wind of 5-10 mph.

Tonight will have increasing clouds, with showers likely toward sunrise, with a low around 48, and a light wind, primarily out of the south.

Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy, with showers likely in the morning and again in the evening, and thunderstorms are also possible in the evening; the high will be around 73, with a southwest wind around 5 mph, which will likely flip suddenly to a northeast wind toward the mid to late evening. Higher wind gusts are possible in some stronger thunderstorms.

Note that the temperature forecast for tomorrow could shift a bit due to uncertainty about the morning warm front passage. As of now, it looks like the warm front will get tied up and stop somewhere in southern or central New Hampshire; however, it’s not impossible it gets caught up closer to northern Massachusetts, which could significantly knock down the high temperature forecast for tomorrow. However, on the flip side, it’s possible we make a run at 80 degrees if all goes right. While skies will be mostly cloudy tomorrow, if we end up on the right side of the warm front, we could see some sunshine around midday. In any instance, the temperatures will likely begin to crash by the mid to late evening as the warm front reverses into a backdoor cold front, most likely just before sunset.

Have a great day!
-Nathan