5/19/20

Good morning!

With sunny skies, expect a high around 61 today, with a generally east wind at 5-15 mph. Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low around 40, and a light northeast wind. Tomorrow will be sunny, with a high around 65, and an east-northeast wind around 5 mph.

I’ll try and put out a 5-day forecast later today; Thursday should break well into the 70s and Friday will likely be in the low to mid 80s.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/16/20

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 73, with a north wind of 5-15 mph. Tonight will turn mostly cloudy, with a low near 48, and a light east wind. Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy, with a high around 73, and a wind shifting to the southwest around 5 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/15/20: Severe Thunderstorms Possible

Good morning!

With increasing clouds, expect a high around 80, with a light southwest wind. This afternoon and evening, there is a chance of some strong to severe thunderstorms. The warm front moved much farther north last night than anticipated in my forecast yesterday morning, which has opened the door for favorable conditions to develop throughout the day. There is a higher than usual risk of damaging winds with this event; small hail (with a few instances of larger hail possible), heavy rain and lightning are all in the cards as usual. There is even a low risk for a few tornadoes across the region today, although this low risk is a bit higher than our usual low risk tornado days. The timeline for severe weather will be from 3 to 10 pm, although most of the high-resolution guidance shows that the bulk of the activity will most likely be after 6 pm, with some scattered strong to severe storms possible ahead of what will likely be an intense squall line.

Keep an eye on weather conditions and updates this afternoon and evening; unfortunately I am working so I don’t know how much I’ll be able to put out as far as updates on my social media channels. I’ll try my best, but no promises unfortunately.

Beyond that, Saturday’s forecast has improved significantly. Yesterday morning’s guidance showed this morning’s warm front reversing and becoming a backdoor cold front this evening several hours prior to the passage of the primary cold front overnight tonight; over the last 24 hours the guidance has shifted toward keeping the front in place through at least most of Saturday, if not longer, and our cause was helped by the front moving all the way into Maine. The primary cold front tonight will be far less potent in terms of a temperature drop than a backdoor front tonight would have been.

Expect a low around 57, with a southwest wind around 5 mph, turning light and gradually shifting to the north, along with decreasing clouds once the severe weather passes. Tomorrow will have a high around 71, with mostly sunny skies and a north wind near 5 mph. Some guidance does show temperatures dropping before sunset due to the chance that the aforementioned backdoor front swings through tomorrow evening; however, some guidance doesn’t show this as prominently. Either way, tomorrow looks nice, and tomorrow night will turn mostly cloudy with a low around 48, as the wind shifts to a light wind out of the east.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/14/20

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 70 today, with a west wind of 5-10 mph.

Tonight will have increasing clouds, with showers likely toward sunrise, with a low around 48, and a light wind, primarily out of the south.

Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy, with showers likely in the morning and again in the evening, and thunderstorms are also possible in the evening; the high will be around 73, with a southwest wind around 5 mph, which will likely flip suddenly to a northeast wind toward the mid to late evening. Higher wind gusts are possible in some stronger thunderstorms.

Note that the temperature forecast for tomorrow could shift a bit due to uncertainty about the morning warm front passage. As of now, it looks like the warm front will get tied up and stop somewhere in southern or central New Hampshire; however, it’s not impossible it gets caught up closer to northern Massachusetts, which could significantly knock down the high temperature forecast for tomorrow. However, on the flip side, it’s possible we make a run at 80 degrees if all goes right. While skies will be mostly cloudy tomorrow, if we end up on the right side of the warm front, we could see some sunshine around midday. In any instance, the temperatures will likely begin to crash by the mid to late evening as the warm front reverses into a backdoor cold front, most likely just before sunset.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/13/20

Good morning!

With sunny skies, expect a high around 61 today, with a northwest wind of 5-15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

Tonight will be mostly clear, with a low around 35, and a light northwest wind, shifting to the west.

Tomorrow will be mostly sunny, turning partly cloudy by the evening, with a high around 69, and a west wind around 5 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/11/20

Good morning!

With sunny skies this morning, followed by increasing clouds with showers and thunderstorms likely this afternoon and evening, expect a high around 65 today, with a south wind at 5-10 mph, with the potential for gusts over 40 mph if any stronger thunderstorms develop, in addition to heavy rain, lightning, and perhaps some small hail.

Tonight will have decreasing clouds, with a low around 41, and a west wind of 5-15 mph.

Tomorrow will be sunny, with a high around 56, and a northwest wind of 10-20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

5/9/20

Good morning!

We encountered a very rare May snowfall this morning. As of this writing (just after 6 am) steady flurries are falling, although they will not accumulate. With snow showers changing to rain showers before ending by mid-morning, then a chance of scattered rain showers through the rest of the day, expect a high around 45, with otherwise cloudy skies and a west wind of 5-15 mph, increasing to 15-30 mph by late morning, with peak gusts of over 50 mph possible. This could cause minor damage in spots, with a wind advisory in effect. As a best case scenario, today will be extremely cold, raw, and bitter for this time of year.

Tonight will then feature the potential for a sub-freezing temperature! With decreasing clouds, expect a low around 31, with a west wind 10-20 mph and gusts over 25 mph possible.

For tomorrow, expect mostly sunny skies, with a high around 55, and a west wind at 10-20 mph, with gusts over 30 mph possible. Beyond that, we may break into the low 60s Monday, before two more days in the 50s followed by the possibility of a real improvement in the weather toward Thursday and Friday.

Have a great day!
-Nathan