Thursday 2.25.21

Good morning!

With skies turning mostly sunny today, expect a high around 45, along with a northwest wind of 10-20 mph, gusting over 30 mph. Tonight will be mostly clear and 20, with a west wind of 5-10 mph. Friday will be mostly sunny and 40, with a west wind of 5-10 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Monday 2.22.21

Good morning!

With cloudy skies, expect a high around 35 today, with a south wind of 5-10 mph. Expect a mix of rain and snow this afternoon and evening, ending by late-evening. A coating to an inch of snow is possible, but the impact won’t be too significant despite being during the evening commute.

Tonight will otherwise be mostly cloudy, with a low around 29, and a southwest wind of 5-10 mph. Tuesday will be mostly cloudy and 43, with a southwest wind of 5-10 mph.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Monday 2.8.21

Good morning!

With mostly sunny skies, expect a high around 28 today, with a northwest wind of 5-15 mph. Clouds will be on the increase tonight, with a low around 12, and a light wind. Tomorrow will have a high around 27, along with a light wind, and snow falling most of the day. Snow begins mid-morning and peaks in the early-mid afternoon, ending during the evening. Expect totals of 2-4″ throughout the area.

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Have a great day!
-Nathan

Sunday 2.7.21

Good morning!

With snow expected from midday today to mid-evening, expect a high around 33, with a northeast wind of 5-10 mph. Expect 3-6″ of fairly fluffy snow, ending during the Super Bowl. Skies then gradually clear tonight, with a low around 17, and a northwest wind of 5-10 mph. Monday will be sunny and 29, with a northwest wind of 5-10 mph.

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Have a great day!
-Nathan

Sat 2/6/21 AM Update on Sunday Snow Event

Good morning! Quick update on tomorrow’s snow system.

Timing
Snow begins around midday Sunday. Heavy snow is possible at times throughout the afternoon and evening. Snow begins to wind down during the early stages of the Super Bowl, completely ending by (or just after) the end of the game.

Amounts
Expect a widespread 2-5″ of snow for northern Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire. If the current track of the system holds, this will be a fairly fluffy snow. Going further south, amounts increase to 5-8″ for much of the far southern tier of New England, but the weight of the snow also increases significantly the further south you go.

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Uncertainty
The northern edge of the higher snow totals is in a little bit of flux. If we can get additional heavy banding to form locally, we could see several inches more than the current forecast due to the more favorable, colder air in this area (though the weight of the snow would probably be heavier locally than currently forecast if that does end up happening). However, it looks like the best dynamics will be confined to our south. There’s also a chance we could underperform the snow forecast if we end up closer to the northern edge of the overall snow shield than expected. This isn’t a super difficult forecast, however.

Impacts
While a significant (6″+) snow is not forecasted locally, this will still cause travel impacts with poor road conditions Sunday afternoon and evening. An in-person Super Bowl party with people outside your household is a really bad idea given the pandemic, but if you are traveling to watch the big game somewhere, take it slow as pregame will have the worst of the conditions. Maybe get your snacks and food today or tomorrow morning if possible. By the time Brady and Mahomes begin to square off, the snow should be starting to wind down.

Have a great day!
-Nathan

Sunday 1/31/21 – PM Update

Good evening! Here’s a full update on the upcoming snowstorm.

Amounts
Expect a widespread 10-18″ in much of interior New England, including the Merrimack Valley. There will be a sharp drop-off in totals at the immediate coastline. Most towns near the coast see 5-12″, with 2-6″ at some immediate shoreline towns (and 0-3″ for Cape Cod and the Islands). Also, a little less snow (5-12″) can be expected near the Connecticut River due to subsidence and the effects of being east of the Berkshires.

There is uncertainty at the coast, as well as for Boston’s southern suburbs. Trends today favored more snow, though it’s possible that the forecast could be under-compensating and that Boston could get over a foot of snow. On the flip side, trends could go the other way and favor less snow at the coastline, depending on timing of mixing. Regardless, this is a fairly safe forecast in most locations, including Dracut.

dracut-1

Timing
Once again, the timing shifts earlier. Snow begins midday tomorrow and will be heavy by the late afternoon/early evening. Heavy snow continues into the overnight hours, though gradually winding down. The accumulating snow is likely done by sunrise, though very light snow may continue occasionally during the day Tuesday.

Impact
The snow will be roughly average weight. It won’t be fluffy, but I also don’t expect anything unusually heavy and wet. There is a threat of downed trees and power outages, though, due to strong northeast winds of 10-20 mph, with peak gusts up to 40 mph. Blizzard conditions are possible at times with poor visibility. Driving will be extremely hazardous Monday evening into Tuesday morning, so stay off the roads if possible.

Uncertainty
This is a high-confidence forecast inland; the only major concern locally would be if the dry slot aloft moves in earlier than expected, which would undercut snow totals a little bit. Most of the uncertainty involves amounts closer to the coast. Trends today have favored more snow closer to the coast, but it will be a very delicate situation with the timing of mixing in those areas, so the forecast could bust in either direction at the immediate coastline, as mentioned earlier.

Have a great night!
-Nathan

Sunday 1/31/21 – AM Update

Good morning! Here’s a full update on the upcoming snowstorm.

Amounts
Expect a widespread 8-14″ in much of interior southern New England, including the Merrimack Valley. 4-8″ totals are likely a bit closer to the coast (especially inside of I-95 near Boston), as well as in parts of western New England further from the key moisture of this storm. Mixing will be an issue near the coast; 2-4″ can be expected at Cape Ann, as well as in much of southeastern Massachusetts (with 0-2″ for Cape Cod and the Islands). There is some uncertainty on snow totals near the coast.

Dracut

Timing
The system has sped up a bit since the last update. Snow begins midday Monday, and may impact the evening commute. However, the bulk of the accumulating snow will be Monday evening into Tuesday morning. The heavy snow ends by mid-morning Tuesday, but flurries and light snow may continue into Tuesday afternoon.

Impact
The snow will be roughly average weight. It won’t be fluffy, but I also don’t expect anything unusually heavy and wet. There is a threat of downed trees and power outages, though, due to strong northeast winds of 10-20 mph, with peak gusts up to 40 mph. Blizzard conditions are possible at times with poor visibility. Driving will be extremely hazardous Monday evening into Tuesday morning, so stay off the roads if possible.

Uncertainty
This is a high-confidence forecast inland; the only major concern locally would be if the dry slot aloft moves in earlier than expected, which would undercut snow totals a little bit. Most of the uncertainty involves amounts closer to the coast, as it’s not impossible that coastal locations (even south of Boston) could see up to a foot of snow with the initial band Monday evening and night before changing to rain.

I’ll have more info tonight if necessary. Have a great day!
-Nathan